This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trump Cabinet
· Geopolitics
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes is the outsider here at 21%, while No trades at 80%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 21%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (153 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Traders have put $10.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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