This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
At 95% for Yes versus 5% for No, the order book sees little doubt here. Even so, the price stays live and can swing on fresh news.
What do traders predict for Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Traders price Yes at a 95% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (169 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
$238.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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