Mercati di previsione su Trump

I mercati di previsione su Trump sono tra i più attivi di Polymarket: durata del mandato, procedimenti giudiziari, politica estera (Ucraina, Cina, Medio Oriente), politica interna e gradimento generale. I volumi superano le centinaia di milioni di dollari.

Questi mercati reagiscono con forza a ogni dichiarazione importante, tramite Truth Social, interviste o annunci della Casa Bianca. La copertura delle notizie in tempo reale crea opportunità di trading.

38 mercati attivi
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3171%SìNo
October 3149%SìNo
$18,8 Mln Volume 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%SìNo
August 25August 2599%SìNo
$2,1 Mln Volume 30/09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
25%
probabilità
Sì No
$8 Mln Volume 01/01
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
probabilità
Sì No
$213.701 Volume 31/12
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
March 31, 202767%SìNo
December 31, 202651%SìNo
$114.970 Volume 01/04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%
probabilità
Sì No
$95.057 Volume 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in August?Who will Trump meet with in August?
Elon MuskElon Musk14%SìNo
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman2%SìNo
$95.232 Volume 31/08
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3151%SìNo
ChinaChina46%SìNo
$51.168 Volume 31/12
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3074%SìNo
Svizzera10%SìNo
$50.124 Volume 30/09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 202759%SìNo
March 31, 202741%SìNo
$6 Mln Volume 01/07
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
probabilità
Sì No
$213.701 Volume 31/08
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3037%SìNo
August 316%SìNo
$892.767 Volume 01/10
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3126%SìNo
October 3115%SìNo
$5,9 Mln Volume 01/01
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman71%SìNo
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin46%SìNo
$95.507 Volume 31/12
U.S. nuclear test by...?U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 20264%SìNo
September 30, 20261%SìNo
$794.083 Volume 01/01
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings37%SìNo
Anna KellyAnna Kelly14%SìNo
$135.814 Volume 31/12
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Badr bin Hamad Al BusaidiBadr bin Hamad Al Busaidi41%SìNo
Jared KushnerJared Kushner39%SìNo
$12.889 Volume 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+90%SìNo
180-1998%SìNo
$17.005 Volume 3 giorni rimanenti
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3146%SìNo
September 302%SìNo
$151.273 Volume 01/01
L'Iran accetterà di fermare l'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 31 dicembre? L'Iran accetterà di fermare l'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 31 dicembre?
12%
probabilità
Sì No
$10.841 Volume 31/12
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3014%SìNo
September 157%SìNo
$641.954 Volume 01/10
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro86%SìNo
Delcy Rodríguez10%SìNo
$95,8 Mln Volume 31/12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%SìNo
September 302%SìNo
$29,1 Mln Volume 01/01
Decisione della Fed a ottobre?Decisione della Fed a ottobre?
No change72%SìNo
25 bps increase25%SìNo
$747.409 Volume 28/10
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2893%SìNo
August 2692%SìNo
$6.493 Volume 01/09
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 3197%SìNo
October 3196%SìNo
$732.800 Volume 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
probabilità
Sì No
$4.776 Volume 31/12
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
God87%SìNo
Ballroom84%SìNo
$4.781 Volume 30/08
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202793%SìNo
SvizzeraSvizzera3%SìNo
$4.358 Volume 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200+68%SìNo
180-19921%SìNo
$17.005 Volume 6 giorni rimanenti
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
September 3065%SìNo
September 1132%SìNo
$55.883 Volume 01/10
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?
648%SìNo
524%SìNo
$16.470 Volume 03/11
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3116%SìNo
October 318%SìNo
$1,1 Mln Volume 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 313%SìNo
June 263%SìNo
$1,6 Mln Volume 01/09
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+5%SìNo
40+2%SìNo
$3.130 Volume 31/08
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 202550%SìNo
December 31, 20263%SìNo
$2,6 Mln Volume 01/01
What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump post this week? (August 24 - August 30)
Crime91%SìNo
Communist / Communism89%SìNo
$3.007 Volume 30/08
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
556%SìNo
418%SìNo
$9.479 Volume 03/11
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Le dichiarazioni di Trump (soprattutto su Truth Social), gli annunci ufficiali della Casa Bianca, le sentenze dei tribunali e l'azione del Congresso. Le reazioni sono molto rapide.

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