Trump Vorhersagemärkte

Trump Vorhersagemärkte gehören zu den aktivsten bei Polymarket — Amtszeit, rechtliche Verfahren, Außenpolitik (Ukraine, China, Naher Osten), Innenpolitik und allgemeine Zustimmung. Die Volumina übersteigen Hunderte von Millionen Dollar.

Diese Märkte reagieren stark auf jede wichtige Aussage — über Truth Social, Interviews oder Ankündigungen des Weißen Hauses. Echtzeit-Nachrichtenberichterstattung schafft Handelsmöglichkeiten.

41 aktive Märkte
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$313.8K Vol 31/07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30%
Chance
Ja Nein
$193K Vol 31/12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
36%
Chance
Ja Nein
$2.4M Vol 01/01
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 1518%JaNein
July 319%JaNein
$7.9M Vol 31/07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 3146%JaNein
August 1528%JaNein
$736.5K Vol 31/08
Fällt das iranische Regime vor 2027? Fällt das iranische Regime vor 2027?
10%
Chance
Ja Nein
$112.3K Vol 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in July?Who will Trump meet with in July?
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu49%JaNein
Elon MuskElon Musk14%JaNein
$58.5K Vol 31/07
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3139%JaNein
July 317%JaNein
$51.6K Vol 31/07
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro81%JaNein
Delcy Rodríguez12%JaNein
$94.1M Vol 31/12
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
August 3173%JaNein
July 3152%JaNein
$278.8K Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20268%JaNein
September 30, 2026September 30, 20263%JaNein
$6.1M Vol Endet heute
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3027%JaNein
Schweiz23%JaNein
$20.6K Vol 30/09
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3124%JaNein
October 3113%JaNein
$870.1K Vol 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3124%JaNein
July 318%JaNein
$1.1M Vol 31/07
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$313.8K Vol 31/12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%JaNein
October 3123%JaNein
$5.6M Vol 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
Chance
Ja Nein
$13.2K Vol 31/12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3114%JaNein
October 317%JaNein
$17.4M Vol 31/12
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
October 3147%JaNein
December 3147%JaNein
$18.2K Vol 31/12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3114%JaNein
September 307%JaNein
$28.6M Vol 31/12
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
30+12%JaNein
40+7%JaNein
$10.6K Vol 31/07
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Inflation 20+ times87%JaNein
Balance Sheet84%JaNein
$10.4K Vol 7 Tage verbleibend
Fed-Entscheidung im Oktober?Fed-Entscheidung im Oktober?
No change56%JaNein
25 bps increase32%JaNein
$4M Vol 28/10
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa2%JaNein
Mohammed bin Salman2%JaNein
$2M Vol 01/08
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Congress99%JaNein
World Cup99%JaNein
$7.6K Vol 31/07
What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?
Fake News86%JaNein
Sleepy54%JaNein
$15.2K Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?
December 31, 202616%
December 31, 202743%
$6.1K Vol 31/12
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%JaNein
September 303%JaNein
$13.7K Vol 31/12
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 2393%JaNein
July 2492%JaNein
$6.1K Vol 31/07
What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)
Bibi / Netanyahu93%JaNein
Champion78%JaNein
$5.4K Vol 4 Tage verbleibend
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
90%
Chance
Ja Nein
$7K Vol 31/12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$10.5M Vol 31/12
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
August 3184%JaNein
August 1565%JaNein
$4.6K Vol 31/08
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
June 301%
November 235%
$29.4K Vol 31/12
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$4.1K Vol 31/07
Stimmt Iran bis 31 Juli dem Stopp der Urananreicherung zu? Stimmt Iran bis 31 Juli dem Stopp der Urananreicherung zu?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$7.2K Vol 31/07
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3172%JaNein
ChinaChina14%JaNein
$3.4K Vol 31/12
Stimmt Iran bis 31 Dezember dem Stopp der Urananreicherung zu? Stimmt Iran bis 31 Dezember dem Stopp der Urananreicherung zu?
22%
Chance
Ja Nein
$7.2K Vol 31/12
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Daniel PennyDaniel Penny60%JaNein
Donald BrodieDonald Brodie45%JaNein
$374.5K Vol 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries81%JaNein
D-Wave73%JaNein
$160.8K Vol 31/12
Trump meets with Putin by...?Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3129%JaNein
September 309%JaNein
$95.1K Vol 31/12
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Trump Märkte FAQ

Welche Trump Märkte sind jetzt live?

Jährliche Zustimmung, spezifische politische Ergebnisse, rechtliche Verfahren, Ergebnisse internationaler Verhandlungen und Entscheidungen über hochrangige Ernennungen.

Was bewegt die Preise?

Trump-Aussagen (insbesondere Truth Social), offizielle Ankündigungen des Weißen Hauses, Gerichtsurteile und Maßnahmen des Kongresses. Reaktionen sind sehr schnell.

Wie manage ich das Risiko in Trump Märkten?

Hohe Volatilität — Positionen schrittweise aufbauen, Überkonzentration in einem einzelnen Markt vermeiden und die Tiefe des Orderbuchs vor dem Einstieg überprüfen.

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