Canada · World

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

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$260.1K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

The market prices Yes at only 6%, with No at 94%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.

What do traders predict for Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 6% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026 market resolve?

Mark 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Traders have put $260.1K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.