This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Yes is priced at 6% and No at 94%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 6% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $260.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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