Pasar Prediksi Trump

Pasar prediksi Trump adalah salah satu yang paling aktif di Polymarket — masa jabatan, proses hukum, kebijakan luar negeri (Ukraina, China, Timur Tengah), kebijakan domestik, dan persetujuan umum. Volume melebihi ratusan juta dolar.

Pasar ini bereaksi kuat terhadap setiap pernyataan besar — melalui Truth Social, wawancara, atau pengumuman Gedung Putih. Liputan berita waktu nyata menciptakan peluang perdagangan.

50 pasar aktif
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$276.1K Volume 31/12
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
37%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$2.5M Volume 01/01
Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 2027? Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 2027?
11%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$244.7K Volume 31/12
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 1519%YaTidak
July 3110%YaTidak
$8M Volume 31/07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 3142%YaTidak
August 1529%YaTidak
$787.1K Volume 31/08
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
August 3152%YaTidak
July 3123%YaTidak
$340.1K Volume Berakhir hari ini
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3132%YaTidak
July 316%YaTidak
$47.1K Volume 31/07
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro81%YaTidak
Delcy Rodríguez11%YaTidak
$94.1M Volume 31/12
Trump out as President by July 31? Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$61.5K Volume 31/07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3114%YaTidak
September 307%YaTidak
$28.7M Volume 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3125%YaTidak
July 317%YaTidak
$1.2M Volume 31/07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3137%YaTidak
October 3124%YaTidak
$5.6M Volume 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 202610%YaTidak
September 30, 2026September 30, 20263%YaTidak
$6.1M Volume Berakhir hari ini
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
8%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$61.5K Volume 31/12
Who will Trump meet with in July?Who will Trump meet with in July?
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu28%YaTidak
Elon MuskElon Musk12%YaTidak
$25.3K Volume 31/07
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3124%YaTidak
October 3113%YaTidak
$877.7K Volume 31/12
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3030%YaTidak
Swiss23%YaTidak
$18.4K Volume 30/09
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Balance Sheet85%YaTidak
Inflation 20+ times82%YaTidak
$18K Volume 6 hari tersisa
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
30+12%YaTidak
40+5%YaTidak
$16.3K Volume 31/07
Keputusan Fed pada Oktober?Keputusan Fed pada Oktober?
No change54%YaTidak
25 bps increase32%YaTidak
$3.2M Volume 28/10
What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?
Fake News89%YaTidak
Drone63%YaTidak
$23.4K Volume Berakhir hari ini
What will Trump say during his Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?What will Trump say during his Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?
Oil 3+ times99%YaTidak
Friend of Mine99%YaTidak
$11.8K Volume Berakhir hari ini
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
December 3147%YaTidak
October 3138%YaTidak
$18.3K Volume 31/12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$10.6K Volume 31/12
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 2493%YaTidak
July 2689%YaTidak
$10.5K Volume 31/07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3114%YaTidak
October 317%YaTidak
$17.4M Volume 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?
120-13962%YaTidak
160-17925%YaTidak
$17.6K Volume Berakhir hari ini
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 316%YaTidak
May 311%YaTidak
$619K Volume 31/12
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$8.3K Volume 31/07
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Mohammed bin Salman2%YaTidak
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa2%YaTidak
$2M Volume 01/08
What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)
Karoline / Leavitt68%YaTidak
Rigged66%YaTidak
$5K Volume 3 hari tersisa
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?
120-13935%YaTidak
100-11919%YaTidak
$17.6K Volume 5 hari tersisa
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M98%YaTidak
285M73%YaTidak
$14.4K Volume 09/09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$10.5M Volume 31/12
Akankah Kash Patel lengser sebelum...?Akankah Kash Patel lengser sebelum...?
December 3136%YaTidak
July 312%YaTidak
$1.6M Volume
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
June 301%
November 230%
$29.6K Volume 31/12
Netanyahu arrested by…?Netanyahu arrested by…?
December 316%YaTidak
September 303%YaTidak
$14.5K Volume 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
88%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$6K Volume 31/12
Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Juli? Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Juli?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$6.8K Volume 7 hari tersisa
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
5%+93%YaTidak
6%+87%YaTidak
$3.9K Volume 7 hari tersisa
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by…?
December 31, 202617%
December 31, 202734%
$8.5K Volume 31/12
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Donald BrodieDonald Brodie35%YaTidak
Daniel PennyDaniel Penny34%YaTidak
$375.5K Volume 31/12
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
July 319%YaTidak
April 301%YaTidak
$6.3M Volume Berakhir hari ini
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
100-11921%YaTidak
120-13920%YaTidak
$17.6K Volume 31/07
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31, 202550%YaTidak
December 3119%YaTidak
$3.1M Volume 31/12
Which companies will the US take a stake in?Which companies will the US take a stake in?
GlobalFoundries81%YaTidak
D-Wave71%YaTidak
$160.8K Volume 31/12
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
David Sacks39%YaTidak
Howard Lutnick36%YaTidak
$2.6K Volume 31/12
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3173%YaTidak
ChinaChina14%YaTidak
$2.5K Volume 31/12
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil31%YaTidak
John Brennan28%YaTidak
$221.2K Volume
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%31%YaTidak
4.0%27%YaTidak
$6.7M Volume 09/12
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FAQ Pasar Trump

Pasar Trump mana yang aktif sekarang?

Persetujuan tahunan, hasil kebijakan tertentu, proses hukum, hasil negosiasi internasional, dan keputusan penunjukan senior.

Apa yang mempengaruhi harga?

Pernyataan Trump (terutama di Truth Social), pengumuman resmi Gedung Putih, putusan pengadilan, dan tindakan Kongres. Reaksi sangat cepat.

Bagaimana cara mengelola risiko di pasar Trump?

Volatilitas tinggi — bangun posisi secara bertahap, hindari konsentrasi berlebihan di satu pasar, dan periksa kedalaman buku pesanan sebelum masuk.

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