UK · Labour

Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?

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$8.3K Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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No next Defence Secretary in 2026

$106 Volume

28%

John Healey

$1.2K Volume

40%

Al Carns

$6.4K Volume

11%

Douglas Alexander

$176 Volume

Pat McFadden

$83 Volume

Heidi Alexander

$110 Volume

Yvette Cooper

$114 Volume

Louise Haigh

$37 Volume

24%

Luke Pollard

$52 Volume

29%

This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Defence Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Defence Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Defence Secretary is appointed, or Dan Jarvis is re-appointed as Defence Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Defence Secretary in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?

It's a genuine race: Person A edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of Person B at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.

What do traders predict for Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?

At 50% implied for Person A, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.

When does the Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026 market resolve?

Mark 31 Dec 2026 (177 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?

$8.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.