بازارهای پیش‌بینی: United Kingdom

16 بازارهای فعال

United Kingdom prediction markets — elections, prime minister and policy

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
John HealeyJohn Healey13%بلهخیر
Miatta FahnbullehMiatta Fahnbulleh10%بلهخیر
$76.2 هزار حجم 31/12
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%76%بلهخیر
<08%بلهخیر
$81 هزار حجم 12/02
Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Alfred CannanAlfred Cannan36%بلهخیر
Chris ThomasChris Thomas21%بلهخیر
$38.1 هزار حجم 24/09
Bank of England decision in September?Bank of England decision in September?
No change93%بلهخیر
25 bps increase6%بلهخیر
$203 حجم 17/09
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
3%
احتمال
بله خیر
$70.3 هزار حجم 30/09
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record? Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?
89%
احتمال
بله خیر
$872 حجم 01/10
Next UK by-election called by…?Next UK by-election called by…?
September 3020%
December 3160%
$4.7 هزار حجم 01/01
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
640%بلهخیر
≤529%بلهخیر
$24.8 هزار حجم 31/12
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
4%
احتمال
بله خیر
$11.9 هزار حجم 31/12
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.4–0.5%25%بلهخیر
0.2–0.3%23%بلهخیر
$10 حجم 12/11
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?
December 31, 202615%
March 31, 202723%
$246 هزار حجم 01/04
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026? Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
55%
احتمال
بله خیر
$1 حجم 31/12
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
286%بلهخیر
315%بلهخیر
$116 هزار حجم 31/12
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027? Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
9%
احتمال
بله خیر
$856 حجم
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?
August 311%
December 315%
$4.2 هزار حجم 01/01
UK Recession in 2026? UK Recession in 2026?
11%
احتمال
بله خیر
$8.7 هزار حجم 31/03
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