This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1
$3.8K Volume
1%
2
$33K Volume
84%
3
$11.9K Volume
14%
4+
$4.5K Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
2 leads the field at 84%, with 3 next at 14%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
The market makes 2 the favorite at 84%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2027 (542 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Traders have put $51.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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