Politics · United Kingdom

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

$143.5K Volume
31/12/2026 00:00
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Andy Burnham
$16.7K Volume
99%
Al Carns
$33.2K Volume
1%
Wes Streeting
$18K Volume
1%
Angela Rayner
$15.3K Volume
1%
Keir Starmer
$39.8K Volume
1%
Ed Miliband
$20.5K Volume
1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.

If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Candidates in next Labour leadership election?
Andy Burnham dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Wes Streeting, trades at just 1%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Candidates in next Labour leadership election?
Traders price Andy Burnham at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Candidates in next Labour leadership election market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (175 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Candidates in next Labour leadership election?
Traders have put $143.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Candidates in next Labour leadership election on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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