This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
December 31, 2026
$245.8K Volume
15%
March 31, 2027
$227 Volume
25%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by?
The field is wide open: March 31, 2027 tops it at just 23%, with December 31, 2026 close behind at 15%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by?
Right now the market's best guess is March 31, 2027 at 23% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Apr 2027 (222 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by?
Total turnover stands at $246K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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