This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
Yes is the outsider here at 19%, while No trades at 82%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 19% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (177 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $205.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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