UK · Reform

Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?

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$3.8K Volume

30/06/2027 23:59

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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?

Yes is trading at 88%, leaving No at just 12% - traders treat this one as close to settled, though prices keep updating until resolution.

What do traders predict for Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?

With 88% implied for Yes, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.

When does the Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 30 Jun 2027 (358 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?

Traders have put $3.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.