Mercati di previsione: United Kingdom

16 mercati attivi

United Kingdom prediction markets — elections, prime minister and policy

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
John HealeyJohn Healey13%SìNo
Miatta FahnbullehMiatta Fahnbulleh10%SìNo
$76.217 Volume 31/12
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%76%SìNo
0-1%9%SìNo
$81.030 Volume 12/02
Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Alfred CannanAlfred Cannan37%SìNo
Chris ThomasChris Thomas20%SìNo
$38.083 Volume 24/09
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
3%
probabilità
Sì No
$70.303 Volume 30/09
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record? Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?
88%
probabilità
Sì No
$872 Volume 01/10
Next UK by-election called by…?Next UK by-election called by…?
September 3019%
December 3159%
$4.747 Volume 01/01
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
640%SìNo
≤529%SìNo
$24.758 Volume 31/12
Bank of England decision in September?Bank of England decision in September?
No change93%SìNo
25 bps increase6%SìNo
$41 Volume 17/09
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
4%
probabilità
Sì No
$11.905 Volume 31/12
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.4–0.5%25%SìNo
0.2–0.3%23%SìNo
$10 Volume 12/11
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
286%SìNo
315%SìNo
$115.952 Volume 31/12
UK Recession in 2026? UK Recession in 2026?
11%
probabilità
Sì No
$8.655 Volume 31/03
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?
December 31, 202615%
March 31, 202723%
$246.047 Volume 01/04
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027? Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
9%
probabilità
Sì No
$856 Volume
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026? Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
55%
probabilità
Sì No
$1 Volume 31/12
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?
August 311%
December 316%
$4.211 Volume 01/01
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