Prognosemärkte: United Kingdom

16 aktive Märkte

United Kingdom prediction markets — elections, prime minister and policy

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
John HealeyJohn Healey13%JaNein
Miatta FahnbullehMiatta Fahnbulleh10%JaNein
$76,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%76%JaNein
<08%JaNein
$81 Tsd. Vol 12/02
Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Alfred CannanAlfred Cannan37%JaNein
Chris ThomasChris Thomas21%JaNein
$38,1 Tsd. Vol 24/09
Bank of England decision in September?Bank of England decision in September?
No change93%JaNein
25 bps increase6%JaNein
$203 Vol 17/09
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
3%
Chance
Ja Nein
$70,3 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record? Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?
89%
Chance
Ja Nein
$872 Vol 01/10
Next UK by-election called by…?Next UK by-election called by…?
September 3019%
December 3161%
$4,7 Tsd. Vol 01/01
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
640%JaNein
≤529%JaNein
$24,8 Tsd. Vol 31/12
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
4%
Chance
Ja Nein
$11,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.4–0.5%25%JaNein
0.2–0.3%25%JaNein
$10 Vol 12/11
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?
December 31, 202615%
March 31, 202723%
$246 Tsd. Vol 01/04
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026? Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
55%
Chance
Ja Nein
$1 Vol 31/12
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
286%JaNein
315%JaNein
$116 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027? Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
9%
Chance
Ja Nein
$856 Vol
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?
August 311%
December 316%
$4,2 Tsd. Vol 01/01
UK Recession in 2026? UK Recession in 2026?
11%
Chance
Ja Nein
$8,7 Tsd. Vol 31/03
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