This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Past
Venezuela
$16.6K Volume
23%
Lebanon
$85.9K Volume
24%
Saudi Arabia$34K Volume
16%
Syria
$13.4K Volume
12%
Indonesia
$13K Volume
13%
Cuba
$5.5K Volume
9%
Kuwait
$8.7K Volume
9%
Bangladesh
$8K Volume
7%
Pakistan
$4.3K Volume
6%
Tunisia$11.6K Volume
7%
Iran$9.8K Volume
5%
Malaysia
$10K Volume
4%
Iraq$8.8K Volume
4%
Afghanistan
$13.5K Volume
4%
North Korea
$15.7K Volume
3%
Qatar$31.8K Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
The field is wide open: Venezuela tops it at just 22%, with Lebanon close behind at 21%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Right now the market's best guess is Venezuela at 22% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (163 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Traders have put $19.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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