This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
September 30
$1.4K Volume
4%
December 31
$5.1K Volume
6%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Netanyahu arrested by?
The field is wide open: December 31 tops it at just 6%, with September 30 close behind at 4%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Netanyahu arrested by?
No strong consensus yet: December 31 tops the implied probabilities at just 6%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Netanyahu arrested by market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (163 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Netanyahu arrested by?
Total turnover stands at $6.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Netanyahu arrested by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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