This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
December 31
$203 Volume
90%
Resolved 1
June 30
$54.1K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by?
Traders are split - 52% for Yes versus 49% for No. A near coin-flip on the order book, so expect the odds to keep moving.
What do traders predict for US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by?
Traders give Yes a 52% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by?
Total turnover stands at $54.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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