This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
December 31
$105 Volume
14%
Resolved 1
June 30
$54.1K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by?
The market prices Yes at only 9%, with No at 92%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 9%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by?
Total turnover stands at $54.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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