Trump · Russia

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

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$64.7K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.

A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Yes is priced at 6% and No at 94%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Traders currently imply a 6% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Total traded volume on this market is $64.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.