Geopolitics · Middle East

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

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$32.4K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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Past

Dec 31, 2025

Dec 31

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Yes is priced at 7% and No at 93%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Traders currently imply a 7% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Total traded volume on this market is $32.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.