This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Politics
· Geopolitics
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Yes is the outsider here at 10%, while No trades at 90%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 10% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (175 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Traders have put $65.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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