This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Analysis & News
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Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
The market prices Yes at only 2%, with No at 98%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 2% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will Iran legalize gay marriage market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (153 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Total turnover stands at $71.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Iran legalize gay marriage on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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