Middle East Prediction Markets
Middle East prediction markets price the region's biggest questions - ceasefires, sanctions, nuclear talks, elections and conflict - as live probabilities that update with every headline.
On Polymarket these markets often carry deep liquidity around news events and run for weeks or months. Polymarkets tracks the real prices and odds for Israel, Iran, Gaza and Gulf markets, so you can read the crowd's view in real time, compare scenarios, and practice risk-free in training mode before trading on Polymarket.
Yair Lapid39%YesNo
Matan Kahana29%YesNo
November 3082%YesNo
December 3176%YesNo
472%YesNo
513%YesNo
October 3150%YesNo
December 3150%YesNo
December 3125%YesNo
November 3019%YesNo
November 3047%YesNo
October 3110%YesNo
November 3096%YesNo
November 1586%YesNo
December 3122%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
November 306%YesNo
August 311%YesNo
346%YesNo
242%YesNo
November 3011%YesNo
October 313%YesNo
November 3026%YesNo
October 315%YesNo
Somaliland13%YesNo
Jordan8%YesNo
November 3035%YesNo
October 316%YesNo
December 3111%YesNo
October 312%YesNo
November 3064%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
October 3150%YesNoDecember 3150%YesNo
November 3052%YesNo
November 1548%YesNo
December 31, 202550%YesNo
December 31, 202618%YesNo
December 3111%YesNo
November 306%YesNo
December 31, 202550%YesNo
December 31, 20264%YesNo
December 3110%YesNo
November 308%YesNo
December 313%YesNo
October 311%YesNo
June 301%December 318%
December 3116%YesNo
August 319%YesNo
March 3113%YesNo
December 317%YesNo
December 3173%YesNoOctober 314%YesNo
October 3150%YesNo
December 3150%YesNo
November 3064%YesNo
November 1542%YesNo
October 312%
December 3110%
December 317%YesNo
April 301%YesNo
October 311%
December 3114%
November 3057%YesNo
October 317%YesNo
December 3113%YesNo
July 311%YesNo
Syria24%YesNo
Lebanon14%YesNo
October 3195%
November 3053%
December 3150%YesNo
December 31, 202612%YesNo
November 1557%
November 3075%
December 3110%YesNo
November 303%YesNo
Middle East markets FAQ
What do Middle East markets cover?
Israel and Iran developments, Gaza and regional ceasefires, sanctions, nuclear-deal negotiations, elections and broader conflict outcomes - each as a yes/no or multi-outcome market with a live probability.
How do the odds work?
Each outcome trades between 1¢ and 99¢; the price is the market's implied probability. Prices move in real time as traders react to news, so they reflect the current consensus rather than a fixed line.
Can I follow or test these without risk?
Yes. Polymarkets's free training mode lets you paper-trade any market with live prices and $1,000 in practice money - no card, no risk - before going to Polymarket.
