Mercados de Previsão do Médio Oriente

Os mercados de previsão do Médio Oriente atribuem preço às grandes questões da região - cessar-fogo, sanções, negociações nucleares, eleições e conflito - como probabilidades vivas que mudam a cada notícia. A Polymarkets acompanha os preços reais dos mercados de Israel, Irão, Gaza e Golfo, e deixa-o praticar sem risco no modo de treino antes de negociar na Polymarket.

23 mercados ativos
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei74%SimNão
No Head of State7%SimNão
$33.5M Volume 31/12
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 1516%SimNão
July 3110%SimNão
$7.8M Volume 31/07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30%
chance
Sim Não
$210.5K Volume 31/12
O regime iraniano cairá antes de 2027? O regime iraniano cairá antes de 2027?
11%
chance
Sim Não
$216.4K Volume 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot51%SimNão
Benjamin Netanyahu37%SimNão
$28.9M Volume 31/12
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 3133%SimNão
September 3014%SimNão
$10.8M Volume 31/08
Iran Nuke before 2027? Iran Nuke before 2027?
6%
chance
Sim Não
$71.4K Volume 31/12
Iran invades Kuwait by...?Iran invades Kuwait by...?
July 311%
August 316%
$290.5K Volume 31/08
Netanyahu fora do cargo até...?Netanyahu fora do cargo até...?
December 3142%SimNão
July 311%SimNão
$60.1K Volume 31/12
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
5%
chance
Sim Não
$336.3K Volume 31/12
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3123%SimNão
July 3110%SimNão
$1.1M Volume 31/07
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3119%SimNão
September 3010%SimNão
$5.9M Volume Encerra hoje
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
August 1552%SimNão
August 3151%SimNão
$19.4K Volume 31/08
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
VenezuelaVenezuela22%SimNão
LebanonLebanon20%SimNão
$19.3K Volume 31/12
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
18%
chance
Sim Não
$12.2K Volume 31/12
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
December 3121%SimNão
July 312%SimNão
$1.7M Volume Encerra hoje
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
10%
chance
Sim Não
$11K Volume 31/12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 317%SimNão
June 301%SimNão
$21.6M Volume Encerra hoje
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
3%
chance
Sim Não
$53.4K Volume 30/09
Houthi military action against Israel by...?Houthi military action against Israel by...?
July 3112%SimNão
July 246%SimNão
$5.2K Volume 31/07
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3135%SimNão
August 3119%SimNão
$921K Volume
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?
July 3127%SimNão
July 2415%SimNão
$3.8K Volume 31/07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3114%SimNão
October 317%SimNão
$17.4M Volume 31/12
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