This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Riemann Hypothesis, or otherwise officially declares the Riemann Hypothesis solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that the Riemann Hypothesis has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI.
A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Riemann Hypothesis has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.
A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
December 31, 2026
$5.4K Volume
2%
December 31, 2027
$5.6K Volume
15%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
The current front-runner is December 31, 2027 at 15%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 1%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
Traders currently imply a 15% chance for December 31, 2027. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___ market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2028 (495 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
Total traded volume on this market is $11K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___ on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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