Pasar Prediksi Sains & Teknologi

Perdagangkan pertanyaan terbuka terbesar di sains dan teknologi di Polymarket. Kategori ini melacak pasar prediksi langsung di bidang antariksa (jumlah peluncuran SpaceX, misi bulan), iklim (rekor suhu, terjangan badai), peristiwa alam (gempa besar, hantaman meteor), dan kesehatan (jumlah kasus penyakit, persetujuan FDA). Setiap pasar menampilkan probabilitas khalayak secara waktu nyata, diperbarui saat data baru masuk.

53 pasar aktif
IPO terbesar berdasarkan kapitalisasi pasar pada 2026?IPO terbesar berdasarkan kapitalisasi pasar pada 2026?
SpaceXSpaceX63%YaTidak
AnthropicAnthropic30%YaTidak
$7,4 jt Volume 02/01
Akankah AS mengonfirmasi keberadaan alien sebelum...?Akankah AS mengonfirmasi keberadaan alien sebelum...?
31 Desember3%YaTidak
31 Oktober1%YaTidak
$76,1 jt Volume 01/01
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
31 Desember 202838%YaTidak
31 Desember 202718%YaTidak
$466,9 rb Volume 01/01
Apakah wabah pes pneumonia dari Rusia menyebar ke luar negeri? Apakah wabah pes pneumonia dari Rusia menyebar ke luar negeri?
4%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$133,7 rb Volume 01/01
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
075%YaTidak
114%YaTidak
$452,2 rb Volume 01/01
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
30 November 202684%YaTidak
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?69%YaTidak
$3 rb Volume 01/07
Kasus campak di AS pada 2026?Kasus campak di AS pada 2026?
↑5k99%YaTidak
↑5.5k97%YaTidak
$2,9 rb Volume 01/01
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by...?Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by...?
31 Desember5%
30 Juni35%
$41,3 rb Volume 01/07
How many US births in 2026?How many US births in 2026?
3.53M–3.56M42%YaTidak
3.56M–3.59M32%YaTidak
$15,3 rb Volume 01/05
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
31 Desember 202766%YaTidak
31 Desember 202628%YaTidak
$2,5 rb Volume 01/01
November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest93%YaTidak
2nd hottest7%YaTidak
$10,8 rb Volume 29/12
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
Ramsey Number R(5,5)27%YaTidak
Yang-Mills25%YaTidak
$65,9 rb Volume 01/01
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?
31 Desember86%
30 Juni91%
$23,6 rb Volume 01/07
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Antara 20 dan 3473%YaTidak
Antara 35 dan 4926%YaTidak
$89,6 rb Volume 01/04
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
11%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$561 Volume 01/01
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
31 Desember 20262%
31 Desember 202711%
$40,3 rb Volume 01/01
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
No solution by Dec 31, 202736%YaTidak
Yang-Mills21%YaTidak
$321,4 rb Volume 01/01
Curah hujan di Hong Kong pada November?Curah hujan di Hong Kong pada November?
60-95mm38%YaTidak
35-60mm28%YaTidak
$765 Volume 08/02
Human moon landing in 2026? Human moon landing in 2026?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$2 jt Volume 01/01
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<568%YaTidak
5-626%YaTidak
$356 Volume 01/01
Akankah OpenAI mengumumkan solusi soal Millennium Prize lainnya sebelum...?Akankah OpenAI mengumumkan solusi soal Millennium Prize lainnya sebelum...?
31 Desember 202753%YaTidak
31 Desember 202614%YaTidak
$1,2 jt Volume 01/01
How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?
<1395%YaTidak
16+4%YaTidak
$298 Volume 01/12
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
31 Desember 202729%YaTidak
31 Desember 202613%YaTidak
$85,1 rb Volume 01/01
Curah hujan di London pada November?Curah hujan di London pada November?
50-60mm32%YaTidak
100mm+31%YaTidak
$765 Volume 08/02
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$199,2 rb Volume 01/01
Pandemi baru pada 2026? Pandemi baru pada 2026?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$173 Volume 01/01
Plague declared public health emergency by...?Plague declared public health emergency by...?
30 November1%
31 Desember2%
$26,2 rb Volume 01/01
Pandemi wabah pes pada 2026? Pandemi wabah pes pada 2026?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$512,6 rb Volume 01/01
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
2%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$100 Volume 01/01
Curah hujan di Seattle pada November?Curah hujan di Seattle pada November?
6.75-7.75"30%YaTidak
5.75-6.75"29%YaTidak
$765 Volume 08/02
Curah hujan di NYC pada November?Curah hujan di NYC pada November?
2-3"33%YaTidak
3.5-4.25"31%YaTidak
$765 Volume 08/02
Plague case in US by December 31? Plague case in US by December 31?
4%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$17,1 rb Volume 01/01
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
31 Desember 202768%YaTidak
30 September 202737%YaTidak
$241,4 rb Volume 01/01
Curah hujan di Seoul pada November?Curah hujan di Seoul pada November?
<20mm40%YaTidak
45-55mm33%YaTidak
$765 Volume 08/02
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?76%
31 Maret 202754%
$90,7 rb Volume 01/07
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
31 Desember 202746%YaTidak
30 Juni 202715%YaTidak
$1,2 jt Volume 01/01
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-15973%YaTidak
120-13928%YaTidak
$298 Volume 01/01
US Birth Rate in 2026? (Per 1000 Women)US Birth Rate in 2026? (Per 1000 Women)
51.0+90%YaTidak
51.5+86%YaTidak
$7,9 rb Volume 01/05
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$597,9 rb Volume 01/01
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
44%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$123,8 rb Volume 01/01
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
31 Desember 202840%YaTidak
31 Desember 202714%YaTidak
$31,1 rb Volume 01/01
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
31 Oktober 20261%
31 Desember 202613%
$23 rb Volume 01/01
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
30 Agustus30 Agustus50%YaTidak
31 Desember31 Desember14%YaTidak
$14,7 rb Volume 01/01
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX81%
OpenAI19%
$13,3 rb Volume 01/01
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
4%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$12,4 rb Volume 01/01
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?
OpenAI54%
Anthropic46%
$4,5 rb Volume 01/01
Kasus campak di AS sebelum 30 November?Kasus campak di AS sebelum 30 November?
5000+99%YaTidak
5600+79%YaTidak
$2,9 rb Volume 01/12
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
77%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$1,2 rb Volume 01/01
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FAQ Pasar Sains & Teknologi

Pasar sains apa yang bisa saya perdagangkan di Polymarket?
Pasar aktif mencakup antariksa (total peluncuran SpaceX, misi bulan), rekor iklim dan cuaca, gempa besar dan bencana alam, serta pertanyaan kesehatan publik seperti jumlah kasus penyakit dan persetujuan obat FDA.
Bagaimana pasar sains dan iklim diselesaikan?
Setiap pasar diselesaikan berdasarkan sumber otoritatif tertentu - USGS untuk gempa, CDC atau WHO untuk jumlah kasus penyakit, NOAA untuk rekor suhu dan badai, serta manifes peluncuran resmi untuk misi antariksa. Sumber penyelesaian tercantum di setiap halaman pasar.
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