This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes is the outsider here at 1%, while No trades at 99%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Human moon landing in 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 1%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Human moon landing in 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Human moon landing in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $2M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Human moon landing in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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