AI Regulation · Politics

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

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$101.8K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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Past

Dec 31, 2025

Dec 31

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.

- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.

- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.

- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Yes is priced at 10% and No at 90%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Traders currently imply a 10% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Total traded volume on this market is $101.8K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027 on Polymarket?

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