🔬 Tahmin Piyasaları: Tech & Science

ABD … tarihine kadar uzaylıların varlığını doğrulayacak mı?

31 Aralık

Evet 14¢Hayır 86¢

30 Eylül

Evet 7¢Hayır 93¢

$50.1M Hac 31/12

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

8+

Evet 99¢Hayır 1¢

7

Evet 1¢Hayır 99¢

$1.9M Hac 30/06

SpaceX IPO'sunun kapanış piyasa değeri (Düşük Strikes)

2.0T+

Evet 67¢Hayır 33¢

1.8T–2.0T

Evet 18¢Hayır 82¢

$1.3M Hac 31/12

2026'da piyasa değeri bakımından en büyük halka arz?

SpaceX

Evet 85¢Hayır 15¢

Anthropic

Evet 13¢Hayır 87¢

$2.3M Hac 31/12

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

2

Evet 61¢Hayır 39¢

1

Evet 29¢Hayır 71¢

$2.9M Hac 31/12

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?

>9

Evet 80¢Hayır 20¢

9

Evet 5¢Hayır 95¢

$104.1K Hac 7 gün kaldı

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

≤8

Evet 50¢Hayır 50¢

9

Evet 27¢Hayır 73¢

$8.2K Hac 30/06

8 Haziran - 14 Haziran tarihleri arasında 6.5 veya üzeri kaç deprem olacak?

0

Evet 47¢Hayır 53¢

1

Evet 35¢Hayır 65¢

$51.5K Hac 7 gün kaldı

2026'da ABD'deki kızamık vakaları?

↑3k

Evet 83¢Hayır 17¢

↑4k

Evet 37¢Hayır 63¢

$2.3K Hac 31/12

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5

Evet 58¢Hayır 42¢

5-6

Evet 22¢Hayır 78¢

$1.3K Hac 31/12

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.10–1.14ºC

Evet 97¢Hayır 3¢

<1.10ºC

Evet 2¢Hayır 98¢

$1.8K Hac 2 gün kaldı

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16

Evet 35¢Hayır 65¢

11–13

Evet 29¢Hayır 71¢

$8.2K Hac 31/12

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2nd hottest

Evet 99¢Hayır 1¢

3rd hottest

Evet 1¢Hayır 99¢

$1.3K Hac 2 gün kaldı

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

2150

Evet 37¢Hayır 63¢

2200

Evet 12¢Hayır 88¢

$2.3K Hac 30/06

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.15–1.19ºC

Evet 36¢Hayır 64¢

1.10–1.14ºC

Evet 33¢Hayır 67¢

$1.8K Hac 30/06

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2nd hottest

Evet 80¢Hayır 20¢

3rd hottest

Evet 8¢Hayır 92¢

$1.3K Hac 30/06

How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?

14+

Evet 56¢Hayır 44¢

13

Evet 31¢Hayır 69¢

$609 Hac 30/06

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0

Evet 64¢Hayır 36¢

1

Evet 21¢Hayır 79¢

$1.1M Hac 31/03

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang

Evet 84¢Hayır 16¢

Jacob Tsimerman

Evet 66¢Hayır 34¢

$532.5K Hac 30/07

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

140-159

Evet 51¢Hayır 49¢

160-179

Evet 29¢Hayır 71¢

$303.4K Hac 31/12

How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

40%+67%

50%+46%

$583 Hac 30/06

Precipitation in Seoul in June?

120-130mm

Evet 32¢Hayır 68¢

130-140mm

Evet 28¢Hayır 72¢

$201 Hac 30/06

Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?

350-375mm

Evet 26¢Hayır 74¢

375-400mm

Evet 26¢Hayır 74¢

$109 Hac 30/06

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 22, 2026?

85–90

Evet 95¢Hayır 5¢

<80

Evet 1¢Hayır 99¢

$95 Hac 4 gün kaldı

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

0.5-1"

Evet 47¢Hayır 53¢

1-1.5"

Evet 32¢Hayır 68¢

$62 Hac 30/06

Precipitation in London in June?

40-50mm

Evet 31¢Hayır 69¢

50-60mm

Evet 27¢Hayır 73¢

$30 Hac 30/06

Precipitation in NYC in June?

<2"

Evet 41¢Hayır 59¢

3-4"

Evet 36¢Hayır 64¢

$26 Hac 30/06

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+

Evet 82¢Hayır 18¢

1200–1249

Evet 6¢Hayır 94¢

$72.9K Hac 10/01