SpaceX, Priced by the Market
The most anticipated IPO in history, Starship reusability milestones, launch records and Mars timelines - SpaceX markets are where space enthusiasm meets real-money probability. When an engine test ends early or an IPO filing leaks, these prices move before the press releases do. New to reading odds? Start with the probability guide.
21 active markets
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1T
Yes 99¢No 1¢
>$1.2T
Yes 98¢No 2¢
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
2.0T-2.5T
Yes 55¢No 45¢
1.5T-2.0T
Yes 28¢No 72¢
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
December 31
Yes 99¢No 1¢
June 30
Yes 99¢No 1¢
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
2.0T+
Yes 70¢No 30¢
1.8T–2.0T
Yes 19¢No 81¢
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price
$150-$200
Yes 58¢No 42¢
$100-$150
Yes 25¢No 75¢
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
1T+
Yes 99¢No 1¢
800B–900B
Yes 1¢No 99¢
SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?
Gwynne ShotwellYes 97¢No 3¢
Bret JohnsenYes 97¢No 3¢
SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?
↑$150
Yes 89¢No 11¢
↑$200
Yes 32¢No 68¢
SpaceX IPO Date
June 12
Yes 99¢No 1¢
June 18
Yes 1¢No 99¢
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
June
Yes 99¢No 1¢
August
Yes 1¢No 99¢
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
70-80B
Yes 99¢No 1¢
90-100B
Yes 1¢No 99¢
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Other (incl $SPCX)
Yes 99¢No 1¢
$SEX
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
↑$1.75T
Yes 96¢No 4¢
↑$2.0T
Yes 86¢No 14¢
SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price
$150-$200
Yes 48¢No 52¢
$100-$150
Yes 33¢No 67¢
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2026
Yes 12¢No 88¢
What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?
1.75-2.00T
Yes 97¢No 3¢
2.00-2.25T
Yes 2¢No 98¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31
Yes 38¢No 62¢
September 30
Yes 22¢No 78¢
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceXYes 79¢No 21¢
AnthropicYes 16¢No 84¢
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
August 31
Yes 86¢No 14¢
Super Heavy booster explodes?
Yes 78¢No 22¢
SpaceX markets - FAQ
What SpaceX markets does Polymarket list?
IPO markets (timing and closing market cap), Starship development milestones like full reusability, launch-cadence records, and Mars-program timelines - plus Elon-related markets that often move together with them.
How do IPO valuation markets resolve?
Each bracket resolves on the official closing market cap per the resolution source named in the rules - typically first-day close per a specified data provider. Read the rules tab: the bracket boundaries and source are the contract.
Why do SpaceX odds move before news breaks?
Traders following FAA filings, road closures at Starbase and supplier chatter act on information early, and the order book aggregates them. A sharp move is often the first public signal.
