BTC $113,247 ▲2.31% ETH $3,847 ▲1.84% SOL $284 ▲4.12% SPX 5,847 ▼0.43% TRUMP-PARDON-HUNTER 67¢ +4 BTC-120K-EOY 43¢ −2 FED-50BP-Q3 64¢ +8 NBA-FINALS Game 7 Thunder 42¢ HAMAS-CEASEFIRE-Q3 31¢ +1 NEWSOM-2028 54¢ +13 IRAN-ISRAEL-DIRECT 18¢ +11 ETH-ETF-STAKING 71¢ +3 BTC $113,247 ▲2.31% ETH $3,847 ▲1.84% SOL $284 ▲4.12% SPX 5,847 ▼0.43% TRUMP-PARDON-HUNTER 67¢ +4 BTC-120K-EOY 43¢ −2 FED-50BP-Q3 64¢ +8 NBA-FINALS Game 7 Thunder 42¢ HAMAS-CEASEFIRE-Q3 31¢ +1 NEWSOM-2028 54¢ +13

🔬 Marchés de prédiction : Tech & Science

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Tech & Science prediction markets — AI, space and technology

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🤖 AI
Les États-Unis confirmeront-ils que les extraterrestres existent d'ici... ?
Les États-Unis confirmeront-ils que les extraterrestres existent d'ici... ?
31 décembre
Oui 14¢Non 86¢
30 septembre
Oui 7¢Non 93¢
$50.1M Vol 31/12
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
8+
Oui 99¢Non 1¢
7
Oui 1¢Non 99¢
$1.9M Vol 30/06
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
8%
de chance
Oui 8¢ Non 92¢
$224.2K Vol 31/12
Capitalisation boursière de l'IPO de SpaceX (Basses)
Capitalisation boursière de l'IPO de SpaceX (Basses)
2.0T+
Oui 67¢Non 33¢
1.8T–2.0T
Oui 18¢Non 82¢
$1.3M Vol 31/12
La plus grande IPO par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?
La plus grande IPO par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?
SpaceXSpaceX
Oui 85¢Non 15¢
AnthropicAnthropic
Oui 13¢Non 87¢
$2.3M Vol 31/12
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
2
Oui 61¢Non 39¢
1
Oui 29¢Non 71¢
$2.9M Vol 31/12
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?
>9
Oui 80¢Non 20¢
9
Oui 5¢Non 95¢
$104.1K Vol 7 jours restants
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
≤8
Oui 50¢Non 50¢
9
Oui 27¢Non 73¢
$8.2K Vol 30/06
Combien de tremblements de terre de 6.5 ou plus entre le 8 juin et le 14 juin ?
Combien de tremblements de terre de 6.5 ou plus entre le 8 juin et le 14 juin ?
0
Oui 47¢Non 53¢
1
Oui 35¢Non 65¢
$51.5K Vol 7 jours restants
Cas de rougeole aux États-Unis en 2026 ?
Cas de rougeole aux États-Unis en 2026 ?
↑3k
Oui 83¢Non 17¢
↑4k
Oui 37¢Non 63¢
$2.3K Vol 31/12
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
Oui 58¢Non 42¢
5-6
Oui 22¢Non 78¢
$1.3K Vol 31/12
May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC
Oui 97¢Non 3¢
<1.10ºC
Oui 2¢Non 98¢
$1.8K Vol 2 jours restants
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
99%
de chance
Oui 99¢ Non 1¢
$83.4K Vol 31/12
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
Oui 35¢Non 65¢
11–13
Oui 29¢Non 71¢
$8.2K Vol 31/12
2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2nd hottest
Oui 99¢Non 1¢
3rd hottest
Oui 1¢Non 99¢
$1.3K Vol 2 jours restants
FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen? FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen?
75%
de chance
Oui 75¢ Non 25¢
$1.1K Vol 30/06
Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?
Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?
2150
Oui 37¢Non 63¢
2200
Oui 12¢Non 88¢
$2.3K Vol 30/06
Natural Disaster in 2026? Natural Disaster in 2026?
27%
de chance
Oui 27¢ Non 73¢
$222.3K Vol 31/12
June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.15–1.19ºC
Oui 36¢Non 64¢
1.10–1.14ºC
Oui 33¢Non 67¢
$1.8K Vol 30/06
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2nd hottest
Oui 80¢Non 20¢
3rd hottest
Oui 8¢Non 92¢
$1.3K Vol 30/06
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
14+
Oui 56¢Non 44¢
13
Oui 31¢Non 69¢
$609 Vol 30/06
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
0
Oui 64¢Non 36¢
1
Oui 21¢Non 79¢
$1.1M Vol 31/03
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Hong Wang
Oui 84¢Non 16¢
Jacob Tsimerman
Oui 66¢Non 34¢
$532.5K Vol 30/07
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159
Oui 51¢Non 49¢
160-179
Oui 29¢Non 71¢
$303.4K Vol 31/12
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
13%
de chance
Oui 13¢ Non 87¢
$814.9K Vol 31/12
Nouvelle pandémie en 2026 ? Nouvelle pandémie en 2026 ?
12%
de chance
Oui 12¢ Non 88¢
$278 Vol 31/12
How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?
How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?
40%+67%
50%+46%
$583 Vol 30/06
La FDA approuve-t-elle le carbonate d'oxylanthano de Unicycive ? La FDA approuve-t-elle le carbonate d'oxylanthano de Unicycive ?
81%
de chance
Oui 81¢ Non 19¢
$1.1K Vol 29/06
Nouvelle pandémie de coronavirus en 2026 ? Nouvelle pandémie de coronavirus en 2026 ?
5%
de chance
Oui 5¢ Non 95¢
$201 Vol 31/12
Precipitation in Seoul in June?
Precipitation in Seoul in June?
120-130mm
Oui 32¢Non 68¢
130-140mm
Oui 28¢Non 72¢
$201 Vol 30/06
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
1%
de chance
Oui 1¢ Non 99¢
$108.3K Vol 30/06
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr? FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?
70%
de chance
Oui 70¢ Non 30¢
$1.1K Vol 18/06
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
350-375mm
Oui 26¢Non 74¢
375-400mm
Oui 26¢Non 74¢
$109 Vol 30/06
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 22, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 22, 2026?
85–90
Oui 95¢Non 5¢
<80
Oui 1¢Non 99¢
$95 Vol 4 jours restants
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
3%
de chance
Oui 3¢ Non 97¢
$108.7K Vol 31/12
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5%
de chance
Oui 5¢ Non 95¢
$622.7K Vol 31/12
5kt meteor strike in 2026? 5kt meteor strike in 2026?
30%
de chance
Oui 30¢ Non 70¢
$67 Vol 31/12
FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug? FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?
72%
de chance
Oui 72¢ Non 28¢
$1.1K Vol 30/06
Precipitation in Seattle in June?
Precipitation in Seattle in June?
0.5-1"0.5-1"
Oui 47¢Non 53¢
1-1.5"1-1.5"
Oui 32¢Non 68¢
$62 Vol 30/06
La FDA approuve-t-elle le Retatrutide cette année ? La FDA approuve-t-elle le Retatrutide cette année ?
12%
de chance
Oui 12¢ Non 88¢
$568.9K Vol 31/12
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
32%
de chance
Oui 32¢ Non 68¢
$330.9K Vol 31/12
Human moon landing in 2026? Human moon landing in 2026?
3%
de chance
Oui 3¢ Non 97¢
$1.9M Vol 31/12
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
14%
de chance
Oui 14¢ Non 86¢
$37 Vol 31/12
FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream? FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?
80%
de chance
Oui 80¢ Non 20¢
$1.1K Vol 29/06
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
11%
de chance
Oui 11¢ Non 89¢
$95K Vol 31/03
Precipitation in London in June?
Precipitation in London in June?
40-50mm
Oui 31¢Non 69¢
50-60mm
Oui 27¢Non 73¢
$30 Vol 30/06
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
78%
de chance
Oui 78¢ Non 22¢
$140.7K Vol 10/01
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
13%
de chance
Oui 13¢ Non 87¢
$27 Vol 31/12
Precipitation in NYC in June?
Precipitation in NYC in June?
<2"<2"
Oui 41¢Non 59¢
3-4"3-4"
Oui 36¢Non 64¢
$26 Vol 30/06
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+
Oui 82¢Non 18¢
1200–1249
Oui 6¢Non 94¢
$72.9K Vol 10/01
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