This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between November 1 and November 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for November 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of November 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.
<2"
$123 Volume
15%
2-3"
$120 Volume
61%
3-3.5"
$70 Volume
56%
3.5-4.25"
$103 Volume
57%
4.25-5.75"
$200 Volume
27%
>5.75"
$98 Volume
27%
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Precipitation in NYC in November?
The current front-runner is 2-3" at 39%, ahead of 3.5-4.25" at 35%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Precipitation in NYC in November?
Traders currently imply a 39% chance for 2-3". Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Precipitation in NYC in November market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 8 Feb 2027 (97 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Precipitation in NYC in November?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Precipitation in NYC in November on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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