Culture · SpaceX

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

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$871.7K Volume

31/12/2027 00:00

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June 30, 2027

$1 Volume

85%

December 31, 2027

$43 Volume

55%

December 31, 2026

$871.7K Volume

14%

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by?

It's a genuine race: June 30, 2027 edges the field at 54%, barely ahead of December 31, 2027 at 53%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.

What do traders predict for Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by?

Traders give June 30, 2027 a 54% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.

When does the Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by market resolve?

Mark 31 Dec 2027 (525 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by?

Traders have put $871.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.