The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Brazil
· Main Election
· Politics
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
Tarcísio de Freitas
$16.2K Volume
85%
Márcio França
$3.8K Volume
1%
Other
50%
Placeholder 2
50%
Placeholder 4
50%
Placeholder 6
50%
Placeholder 8
50%
Placeholder 10
50%
Placeholder 12
50%
Placeholder 14
50%
Placeholder 16
50%
Placeholder 18
50%
Placeholder 20
50%
Fernando Haddad
$16.8K Volume
6%
Erika Hilton
$4.2K Volume
1%
Kim Kataguiri
$6.6K Volume
6%
Placeholder 3
50%
Placeholder 5
50%
Placeholder 7
50%
Placeholder 9
50%
Placeholder 11
50%
Placeholder 13
50%
Placeholder 15
50%
Placeholder 17
50%
Placeholder 19
50%
About This Market
Similar Markets

Brazil Presidential Election
Yes 44¢No 56¢
Yes 28¢No 72¢

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Yes 58¢No 42¢
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Yes 83¢No 17¢
Yes 48¢No 52¢

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?
Decrease
Yes 89¢No 11¢
No Change
Yes 10¢No 90¢

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Brazil Squad
João Pedro
Yes 6¢No 94¢
Gabriel Sara
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Bahia Governor Election Winner
Yes 53¢No 47¢
Yes 40¢No 60¢

Ceará Governor Election Winner
Yes 67¢No 33¢
Yes 18¢No 82¢