The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Sergio Moro
$5.8K Volume
78%
Requião Filho
$253 Volume
9%
Rafael Greca
$222 Volume
8%
Alexandre Curi
$143 Volume
6%
Beto Richa
$202 Volume
2%
Enio Verri
$128 Volume
1%
Guto Silva
$133 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Paraná Governor Election Winner?
The front-runner right now is Sergio Moro at 77%, ahead of Candidate G at 50%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for Paraná Governor Election Winner?
The market gives Sergio Moro a 77% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Paraná Governor Election Winner market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 5 Oct 2026 (96 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Paraná Governor Election Winner?
Total traded volume on this market is $6.9K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Paraná Governor Election Winner on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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