Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.
The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.
A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?
Yes is trading at 92%, leaving No at just 8% - traders treat this one as close to settled, though prices keep updating until resolution.
What do traders predict for Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?
With 92% implied for Yes, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27 market resolve?
The market runs until 27 Jul 2026 (5 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?
Traders have put $11.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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