AI · USA

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

$205.4K Volume
01/07/2027 03:59
market.mkt_cta_label
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YMTC
$21.7K Volume
18%
CATL
$28.6K Volume
18%
Hesai
$13.1K Volume
18%
DJI
$15.8K Volume
17%
Tencent
$20.7K Volume
18%
Baidu
$21.1K Volume
16%
CXMT
$8.4K Volume
15%
BYD
$21.6K Volume
14%
Unitree
$18.6K Volume
14%
Alibaba
$35.7K Volume
9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.

A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting.

Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries.

An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed.

A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.

For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal.

If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
The current front-runner is YMTC at 18%, ahead of CATL at 18%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Traders currently imply a 18% chance for YMTC. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jul 2027 (306 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Total traded volume on this market is $205.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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