This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes is priced at 10% and No at 91%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Traders currently imply a 10% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (127 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Total traded volume on this market is $98.8K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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