This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Past
July 8
$1K Volume
1%
July 9
$3K Volume
1%
July 10
$303 Volume
1%
July 11
$953 Volume
1%
July 12
$748 Volume
1%
July 13
$1.1K Volume
1%
July 14
$2.4K Volume
10%
July 15
$2.4K Volume
6%
July 16
$2.2K Volume
10%
July 17
$40.9K Volume
16%
July 18
$959 Volume
4%
July 19
$1.1K Volume
1%
July 20
$1.3K Volume
1%
July 21
$1.4K Volume
5%
July 22
$1.4K Volume
8%
July 23
$1.7K Volume
7%
July 24
$851 Volume
8%
July 25
$730 Volume
1%
July 26
$664 Volume
1%
July 27
$704 Volume
2%
July 28
$1.1K Volume
38%
July 29
$918 Volume
16%
July 30
$1K Volume
39%
No release by July 31
$20.7K Volume
26%
July 31
$1.1K Volume
6%
Resolved 7
On or prior to July 1
$787 Volume
No
July 2
$487 Volume
No
July 3
$682 Volume
No
July 4
$303 Volume
No
July 5
$328 Volume
No
July 6
$2.7K Volume
No
July 7
$807 Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
The field is wide open: July 30 tops it at just 21%, with No release by July 31 close behind at 21%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
No strong consensus yet: July 30 tops the implied probabilities at just 21%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (23 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
Traders have put $28.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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