This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
On or prior to July 1
$787 Volume
1%
July 2
$487 Volume
1%
July 3
$682 Volume
1%
July 4
$303 Volume
1%
July 5
$328 Volume
1%
July 6
$2.7K Volume
1%
July 7
$807 Volume
1%
July 8
$1K Volume
1%
July 9
$3.7K Volume
1%
July 10
$303 Volume
1%
July 11
$1.2K Volume
1%
July 12
$1.3K Volume
1%
July 13
$1.4K Volume
1%
July 14
$7.6K Volume
1%
July 15
$11.6K Volume
1%
July 16
$9.3K Volume
1%
July 17
$75.7K Volume
1%
July 18
$6.2K Volume
1%
July 19
$4.3K Volume
1%
July 20
$5.6K Volume
1%
July 21
$10.8K Volume
1%
July 22
$6.1K Volume
1%
July 23
$8.3K Volume
1%
July 24
$21.9K Volume
1%
July 25
$4.2K Volume
1%
July 26
$4.2K Volume
1%
July 27
$3.6K Volume
1%
July 28
$7.1K Volume
1%
July 29
$10.4K Volume
2%
July 30
$24.9K Volume
1%
July 31
$8K Volume
1%
No release by July 31
$133.9K Volume
99%
Odds & FAQ
When does the Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $25.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
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