On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
July 31
$41.9K Volume
1%
August 31
$18.1K Volume
40%
September 30
$24.9K Volume
73%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Mythos-Class Model released by?
The money is on September 30 at 72%; August 31 follows at 37%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Next Mythos-Class Model released by?
Traders lean toward September 30, pricing it at 72%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Next Mythos-Class Model released by market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Sep 2026 (62 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Next Mythos-Class Model released by?
Traders have put $4.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Next Mythos-Class Model released by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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