Polymarket Italy predictions: politics, markets and Serie A

Italian politics: Meloni and the next general election

The core Italy markets ask how long Giorgia Meloni stays in Palazzo Chigi. Next Prime Minister of Italy? lists Meloni against Elly Schlein and Giuseppe Conte, while Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...? prices a sudden exit. On 3 November 2026 the market gave Meloni 51.5% to be the next PM named. The next general election is due by late 2027, and two markets already look ahead to it: will Futuro Nazionale reach 3% of the vote, and will it finish ahead of Lega?

Finance, Vesuvius and the Serie A season

Beyond politics you will find MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger announced in 2026?, a long-shot market on a Vesuvius eruption, and a full set of Serie A 2026-27 season markets: champion, relegation, Champions League places, top scorer and assists. The season ends in late May 2027, so these prices move every matchday. Our Serie A hub has the weekly match markets too.

What moves the prices and how to use this page

Coalition tensions inside the centre-right, polls for Fratelli d'Italia, the PD and the Five Star Movement, and any talk of an early vote shift the political markets. Banking news moves the MPS market, and injuries and results move the football ones.

Every price on this page is Polymarket's live order-book price, so 70 cents means the market puts the outcome at roughly 70%. You can follow these markets free and practise trading them with virtual money on polymarkets.co.il.