Polymarket Australia predictions: Victoria, NSW and Canberra

Victoria and New South Wales state elections

Victorians vote on Saturday 28 November 2026, and Polymarket covers the outcome in detail: the overall winner, 2nd and 3rd place, the next Premier and the Legislative Council. On 3 November 2026 the Liberal-National Coalition was at 88% to win, with Jess Wilson favoured as next Premier and One Nation tipped for third. New South Wales follows on 13 March 2027, with markets on the winner, the next Premier (Chris Minns leads), 2nd and 3rd place and the Legislative Council.

Federal politics: Albanese and One Nation

Prime Minister of Australia after next election? lists Anthony Albanese ahead of Pauline Hanson and Angus Taylor, and runs until the next federal poll. Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? prices an early exit. One Nation's rise has its own markets, including whether another sitting MP joins the party in 2026. For something lighter, there is Melbourne's wettest month of 2026.

What moves the prices and how to use this page

Newspoll and Resolve results, preference deals, candidate announcements and leadership chatter in Canberra and Spring Street move these markets.

Every price on this page is Polymarket's live order-book price, so 70 cents means the market puts the outcome at roughly 70%. You can follow these markets free and practise trading them with virtual money on polymarkets.co.il.