Polymarket Argentina predictions: Milei, 2027 and inflation

The 2027 presidential election

Argentina Presidential Election Winner is the flagship market, with over $1.2 million traded ahead of the October 2027 vote. On 3 November 2026 Javier Milei led at 45.5%, ahead of Buenos Aires governor Axel Kicillof and Sergio Massa. Separate markets cover the first-round winner and the Peronist presidential nominee, where Kicillof leads. Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? prices an early exit.

Inflation, the dollar and dollarization

The economic markets follow Milei's programme closely. There is a monthly INDEC inflation market (the October figure is due in mid-November), annual inflation for 2026 in ranges, and two markets on the official USD exchange rate at the end of 2026. Will Argentina dollarize by...? tracks the old campaign promise, and a long-shot market asks whether the UK announces a transfer of the Falklands.

What moves the prices and how to use this page

INDEC releases, the central bank's currency band, Congress votes on Milei's reforms, Peronist internal fights and polls for 2027 move these markets. The election price also reacts to how voters feel about inflation, so the economic and political markets often move together.

Every price on this page is Polymarket's live order-book price, so 70 cents means the market puts the outcome at roughly 70%. You can follow these markets free and practise trading them with virtual money on polymarkets.co.il.