This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
July 31
$47.1K Volume
5%
December 31
$19.9K Volume
26%
Resolved 1
June 30
$68.3K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by?
The field is wide open: December 31 tops it at just 24%, with July 31 close behind at 4%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by?
No strong consensus yet: December 31 tops the implied probabilities at just 24%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (169 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by?
Traders have put $135.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
