Italy is scheduled to hold general elections by December 22, 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Futuro Nazionale receives at least the listed percentage of total valid votes in the next Italian general elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only the vote totals from the Italy (excluding Valle d’Aosta) will be considered in this market. Votes from outside Italy or from the Valle d’Aosta constituency will not count.
If the specified party runs as a joint list (lista congiunta / simbolo congiunto) with any other parties in the next Italian general elections, the total votes received by the joint list will be considered the votes received by the specified party for the purposes of this market.
Percentage of total valid votes will be calculated by dividing the total number of valid votes received by the specified party or its joint list by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will not consider the valid vote totals of any coalition (coalizione) that the specified party joins. Only votes received by the specified party, or any applicable joint list, will count for resolution of this market.
If the specified party changes its name or otherwise reconstitutes in a way which functionally represents the same entity in the next Italian general elections, this market will consider the new name or reconstitution as an extension of the original specified party.
If Italy does not hold general elections, or the results of the next Italian general elections are not known definitively, by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified party disbands by, or otherwise does not contest the next Italian general elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Government (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Italy
· Politics
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
Yes leads at 67% against 34% for No. That's a clear favorite, but not a done deal - live order-book prices shift with every trade.
What do traders predict for Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
Traders lean toward Yes, pricing it at 67%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 23 Dec 2027 (527 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
Traders have put $1.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
December 3122%YesNo
July 314%YesNo
