This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
28°C or below
$478 Volume
7%
29°C
$519 Volume
21%
30°C
$395 Volume
38%
31°C
$1.2K Volume
26%
32°C
$269 Volume
14%
33°C
$122 Volume
2%
34°C
$68 Volume
1%
35°C
$54 Volume
1%
36°C
$67 Volume
1%
37°C
$74 Volume
1%
38°C or higher
$447 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 1?
Even the leader is cheap - 30°C trades at 38%, 31°C at 26%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 1?
No strong consensus yet: 30°C tops the implied probabilities at just 38%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 1 market resolve?
Mark 1 Aug 2026 (2 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 1?
Traders have put $33.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 1 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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