This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
24°C or below
$411 Volume
1%
25°C
$1.2K Volume
1%
26°C
$6.4K Volume
2%
27°C
$6.6K Volume
21%
28°C
$2.9K Volume
43%
29°C
$2.7K Volume
29%
30°C
$5.4K Volume
9%
31°C
$2.1K Volume
3%
32°C
$1.5K Volume
2%
33°C
$1.7K Volume
1%
34°C or higher
$1.7K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
Even the leader is cheap - 28°C trades at 43%, 29°C at 29%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
No strong consensus yet: 28°C tops the implied probabilities at just 43%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31 market resolve?
Mark 31 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
$214.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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