This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
29°C or below
$302 Volume
1%
30°C
$201 Volume
1%
31°C
$87 Volume
1%
32°C
$136 Volume
3%
33°C
$370 Volume
9%
34°C
$578 Volume
25%
35°C
$295 Volume
33%
36°C
$500 Volume
25%
37°C
$715 Volume
12%
38°C
$416 Volume
4%
39°C or higher
$41 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
The field is wide open: 35°C tops it at just 33%, with 36°C close behind at 24%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
No strong consensus yet: 35°C tops the implied probabilities at just 33%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
Total turnover stands at $98.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 1 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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