This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
57°F or below
$79 Volume
1%
58-59°F
$89 Volume
1%
60-61°F
$89 Volume
1%
62-63°F
$70 Volume
2%
64-65°F
$125 Volume
3%
66-67°F
$168 Volume
20%
68-69°F
$605 Volume
45%
70-71°F
$170 Volume
20%
72-73°F
$68 Volume
8%
74-75°F
$653 Volume
4%
76°F or higher
$378 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in NYC on July 31?
The field is wide open: 68-69°F tops it at just 45%, with 66-67°F close behind at 20%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in NYC on July 31?
Right now the market's best guess is 68-69°F at 45% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Lowest temperature in NYC on July 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in NYC on July 31?
Total turnover stands at $11.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in NYC on July 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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