This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
22°C or below
$333 Volume
1%
23°C
$229 Volume
1%
24°C
$422 Volume
1%
25°C
$256 Volume
2%
26°C
$862 Volume
7%
27°C
$1.1K Volume
13%
28°C
$836 Volume
71%
29°C
$413 Volume
9%
30°C
$325 Volume
1%
31°C
$194 Volume
1%
32°C or higher
$179 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 1?
28°C leads the field at 70%, with 27°C next at 12%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 1?
The market makes 28°C the favorite at 70%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 1 market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Aug 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 1?
Total turnover stands at $26.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 1 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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