This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
20°C or below
$369 Volume
1%
21°C
$389 Volume
1%
22°C
$105 Volume
1%
23°C
$235 Volume
1%
24°C
$513 Volume
2%
25°C
$220 Volume
5%
26°C
$510 Volume
15%
27°C
$365 Volume
39%
28°C
$457 Volume
37%
29°C
$794 Volume
12%
30°C or higher
$320 Volume
5%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
Even the leader is cheap - 27°C trades at 38%, 28°C at 36%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
Right now the market's best guess is 27°C at 38% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Highest temperature in Moscow on August 1 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Aug 2026 (2 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
$39.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Moscow on August 1 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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